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Ledyard | Nick Chubb Senior Assessment

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Ledyard | Nick Chubb Senior Assessment

Throughout the summer, National Scout Jon Ledyard, Assistant Director Joe Marino and Scouting Director Kyle Crabbs will be conducting summer assessments on 99 notable senior prospects. Of these 99 seniors, the 33 most prominent will be covered by all three analysts.

Of the remaining 66, each of the three analysts has “drafted” 22 of them to scout exclusively.

This serves as the foundation for our 2018 draft assessments.

Biography

Scout: Jon Ledyard

Name: Nick Chubb

Position: Running Back

Number: #27

Date of Birth: 12/27/1995

College: Georgia

High School: Cedartown (GA)


Listed Measures

Height: 5-10

Weight: 228


Experience/Production

Games Played: 32

Games Started: 25

Production: 535 carries, 3,424 yards, 6.4 average, 29 touchdowns, 27 catches, 331 yards, 4 touchdowns.


Accolades

High School: Consensus 5-star recruit and the fifth-ranked running back in the country (247sports.com). Was 1st team All-State (GA) and honorable mention All-American as a senior. Led all high school athletes in state of Georgia with 2,721 rushing yards as a junior. Chose Georgia over offers from Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, Florida, Florida State, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Penn State, Stanford, Wisconsin and others.

College: Agriculture and Applied Economics major. 2016 captain. 2014 SEC Freshman of the Year. 2014 1st team All-SEC. FWAA 1st team freshman All-American. 2015 Preseason 1st team All-American. Currently 2nd all time in UGA rushing yardage behind Herschel Walker.


Film Assessment

Strengths: Sharp mental processor with a great feel for space and how to efficiently navigate trouble. Knows how to set up defenders for failure with an initial move before changing direction to select a new, more unencumbered course. Savvy runner who can get defenders off-balance when they’re overaggressive despite not having elite change of direction ability. Patient runner who is under control and balanced when absorbing contact. Finishes most of his runs falling forward. Good pass protector with active eyes and ideal tenacity/technique.

Weaknesses: Lacks the vertical burst to really erupt into the second level. Can get caught through holes due to lack of acceleration. Long speed is a question mark. A crafty runner, but not a sharp, stop-on-a-dime cutter in the open field. Only 5-10, but could stand to lower his pad level some at the point of contact. Not a true tackle-breaking, punishing runner, although re-gaining more of his pre-injury burst could enhance this. Lacks the improvisational ability that he at times tries to display. Does not seem to project to a special receiving threat out of the backfield, checkdown/screen back without a big flex impact on the passing game.

Summary: Chubb’s recovery from a devastating 2015 midseason torn ACL is impressive, but it remains to be seen if he can work all the way back to the player he was before the injury. Chubb is still a mentally and technically sound runner with good vision and the patience to allow blocks to develop before making his move, but the burst and power he once displayed are not on the same elite level right now. He’s still a very capable starter who can have success in the NFL even if he never returns to the same player however, as Chubb’s game is well-rounded and he possesses a lot of traits that are tough to teach for backs.

Chubb is a balanced runner who is efficient in his movements and has a great feel for working to space, but he’s not longer as laterally explosive in his cuts as he once was. Hopefully Chubb can regain all his movement skills this season, as the senior has commented to the media how much better he feels running during the offseason. Chubb has never been utilized heavily as a receiver and I doubt he’ll ever be a flex option/high-volume target in the passing game. Right now the Georgia star looks like a day two back with a solid skill set and high-end traits above the neck, but if he can get back to the player he once was, we could be talking about a first round prospect once again.

Predicted Value Range: Day 2

Jon Ledyard

Jon Ledyard has been writing about the NFL draft for several years now, and is thrilled to be bringing creative content and unique analysis to NDT Scouting. He lives with his wife Brittany and four-month old daughter Caylee in mid-western Pennsylvania. Jon is also the host of the Locked on NFL Draft and Breaking the Plane podcasts, while covering the Steelers for scout.com. The Office, LOST, weightlifting, ultimate frisbee, grilling, Duke basketball, and all Pittsburgh pro sports teams are his greatest passions.

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