Never again, Kansas State. The Wildcats delivered the performance I expected in Week 7 one week behind schedule. Lesson learned, I’ll never bet on your squad again, Coach Snyder. Shout out to the real MVP, LSU, for knocking Ole Miss through the turf and getting me a ‘W’. Southern Cal, not so much. I already delivered an apology to Notre Dame on the Monday, October 23rd episode of the Draft Dudes podcast, but it bears repeating.
I see you, Irish.
Crabbs’ Week 8 CFB picks against the spread (game winners in bold)
Southern California Trojans (+3.0) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Louisiana State Tigers (-7.0) @ Mississippi Rebels
Boston College Eagles @ Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
Oklahoma Sooners (-14.0) @ Kansas State Wildcats
Last week: 1-3
Season to date: 17-15
#3 Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators (+14.0)
The Bulldogs are averaging 42.5 points per game in SEC play this year. Florida has hit 28 as a season high and hasn’t eclipsed 17 points in half of their games on the season. I may be more opened mined to a Gators cover if this game was in Gainesville, but it’s not. Instead, the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party is played on a neutral field, and with each of these teams trending in opposite directions I don’t see any reason to not take the Dogs.
#5 Wisconsin Badgers @ Illinois Fighting Illini (+26.5)
The Badgers’ schedule is Charmin soft; this week being no exception. Yes the Badgers are on the road to take on Illinois, but the Illini have lost 5 straight, including dropping conference games to Nebraska and Rutgers.
Ahem. Illinois lost to Rutgers.
So when I get a 4 score margin for the Badgers, whose offense has come alive courtesy of a revived running game, I’ll take that all day long.
Louisville Cardinals @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+3.0)
Lamar Jackson has been anything but disappointing this year. The Cardinals as a whole? That’s another story. This team has been frustratingly inconsistent, especially on the defensive side of the ball.
But this Wake Forest squad has a murderers row on the docket, with Notre Dame looming next weekend. And after starting strong, the Deacons have faded, losing 3 consecutive conference games.
I’ll take the elite talent to win, given it’s a slim margin.
Duke Blue Devils @ Virginia Tech Hokies (-15.5)
Hokies have taken care of business all year, minus a frustrating home loss to the Clemson Tigers. At home, they are 3-1 to date ATS and facing a Duke squad who lost to Pittsburgh last week, 24-17. Duke average points over their last 4 games? 13.5. Do I trust the Hokies (by law of averages) to find 30 points against Duke?